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Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

$358K Vol.6 outcomes
OutcomeChanceYesNo

US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1

$94K Vol.

7%

US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1

$28K Vol.

2%

US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1

$40K Vol.

2%

US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1

$45K Vol.

2%

US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1

$88K Vol.

2%

US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1

$63K Vol.

1%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before May 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, by May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1
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