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Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

$324K Vol.5 outcomes
OutcomeChanceYesNo

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026

$5K Vol.

80%

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026

$62K Vol.

61%

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026

$77K Vol.

27%

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026

$41K Vol.

13%

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026

$138K Vol.

6%

Rules

On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this marke

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026
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