Next French Presidential Election

$86.5M Vol.36 outcomes

OutcomeChanceYesNo

Jordan Bardella

$979K Vol.

24%

Édouard Philippe

$810K Vol.

18%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$646K Vol.

12%

Gabriel Attal

$1.5M Vol.

7%

Marine Le Pen

$628K Vol.

7%

Dominique de Villepin

$1.3M Vol.

4%

François Hollande

$1.1M Vol.

4%

David Lisnard

$1.2M Vol.

4%

Bruno Retailleau

$1.5M Vol.

3%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1.0M Vol.

3%

Sarah Knafo

$1.4M Vol.

2%

Sébastien Lecornu

$1.0M Vol.

1%

Éric Zemmour

$1.6M Vol.

1%

Jean Castex

$819K Vol.

1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$2.5M Vol.

1%

Fabien Roussel

$2.9M Vol.

1%

Juan Branco

$1.4M Vol.

1%

François Ruffin

$2.1M Vol.

1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$4.5M Vol.

1%

Gérald Darmanin

$1.1M Vol.

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1.5M Vol.

1%

François Asselineau

$4.4M Vol.

1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$3.3M Vol.

1%

Valérie Pécresse

$3.0M Vol.

1%

Élisabeth Borne

$4.0M Vol.

1%

Carole Delga

$3.3M Vol.

1%

Manuel Bompard

$3.7M Vol.

1%

Xavier Bertrand

$3.9M Vol.

1%

Marine Tondelier

$2.6M Vol.

1%

Olivier Faure

$3.5M Vol.

1%

Ségolène Royal

$3.8M Vol.

1%

Clémentine Autain

$3.5M Vol.

1%

Michel Barnier

$3.9M Vol.

1%

François Bayrou

$4.4M Vol.

1%

Mathilde Panot

$4.5M Vol.

1%

Clémence Guetté

$3.2M Vol.

1%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).