Next French Presidential Election

$39.6M Vol.36 outcomes

OutcomeChanceYesNo

Jordan Bardella

$734K Vol.

25%

Édouard Philippe

$512K Vol.

24%

Marine Le Pen

$375K Vol.

7%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$321K Vol.

7%

Dominique de Villepin

$947K Vol.

6%

David Lisnard

$871K Vol.

4%

François Hollande

$698K Vol.

3%

Bruno Retailleau

$1.1M Vol.

3%

Gabriel Attal

$979K Vol.

3%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$597K Vol.

2%

Sarah Knafo

$1.1M Vol.

2%

Jean Castex

$589K Vol.

1%

Sébastien Lecornu

$747K Vol.

1%

Gérald Darmanin

$491K Vol.

1%

Éric Zemmour

$526K Vol.

1%

Fabien Roussel

$1.6M Vol.

1%

François Ruffin

$506K Vol.

1%

Valérie Pécresse

$1.5M Vol.

1%

Manuel Bompard

$1.4M Vol.

1%

Juan Branco

$414K Vol.

1%

Xavier Bertrand

$1.2M Vol.

1%

Olivier Faure

$1.3M Vol.

1%

Ségolène Royal

$1.5M Vol.

1%

Clémentine Autain

$2.1M Vol.

1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1.6M Vol.

1%

Clémence Guetté

$1.9M Vol.

1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$704K Vol.

1%

François Asselineau

$2.0M Vol.

1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1.8M Vol.

1%

Élisabeth Borne

$1.9M Vol.

1%

Marine Tondelier

$698K Vol.

1%

Michel Barnier

$1.5M Vol.

1%

François Bayrou

$1.9M Vol.

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$755K Vol.

1%

Mathilde Panot

$1.7M Vol.

1%

Carole Delga

$1.2M Vol.

0%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).